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Author: Brian A. Jackson David R. Frelinger
Publisher: RAND
Keywords: threats, worry, hypothetical, security, emerging, planning
Number of Pages: 100
Published: 2009
ISBN-10: 0833047310
ISBN-13: 9780833047311

Concerns about how terrorists might attack in the future are central to the design of security efforts to protect both individual targets and the nation overall. In thinking about emerging threats, security planners are confronted by a panoply of possible future scenarios coming from sources ranging from the terrorists themselves to red-team brainstorming efforts to explore ways adversaries might attack in the future. This paper explores an approach to assessing emerging and/or novel threats and deciding whether

Authors:Brian A. Jackson, David R. Frelinger, Michael J.
Publisher: RAND
Keywords: vehicles, cruise, missiles, aerial, unmanned, novel, threats, homeland, evaluating
Number of Pages: 100
Published: 2008
ISBN-10: 083304169X
ISBN-13: 9780833041692

Changes in technology and adversary behavior will invariably produce new threats that must be assessed by defense and homeland security planners, and a decision must be made about whether they merit changes in current defenses or the development of new defensive approaches. An example of such a novel threat is the use of cruise missiles or unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) by terrorist groups or other asymmetric actors to attack homeland targets. Individual threats cannot be assessed in isolation, however, since adversaries always have many options for staging attacks. To examine the threat of U

Authors:Karl P. Mueller, Jasen J. Castillo, Forrest E. Mo
Publisher: RAND
Keywords: national, security, policy, attack, preventive, first, preemptive, striking
Number of Pages: 100
Published: 2006
ISBN-10: 0833038818
ISBN-13: 9780833038814

Following the terrorist attacks against the United States on September 11, 2001, U.S. leaders recast the national security strategy to place greater emphasis on the threats posed by terrorists and by states from which they might acquire weapons of mass destruction, and announced that in the future the United States would take advantage of opportunities to strike at potential adversaries before they attacked.RAND Project AIR FORCE examined the nature and implications of this doctrine of striking first. This study focused on three central questions: First, under what conditions is preemptive or

Author: Gregory F. Treverton
Publisher: RAND
Keywords: workshop, reports, threats, transnational, sense, making
Number of Pages: 100
Published: 2005
ISBN-10: 0833037250
ISBN-13: 9780833037251

Global Futures Partnership, part of the CIA

Authors:John Hollywood, Diane Snyder, Kenneth N. McKay, J
Publisher: RAND
Keywords: unusual, behavior, analyzing, threats, finding, hidden, ordinary
Number of Pages: 100
Published: 2004
ISBN-10: 0833035207
ISBN-13: 9780833035202

This monograph presents a unique approach to

Author: Peter Chalk
Publisher: RAND
Keywords: attacks, biological, agricultural, food, industry, deliberate, threat, america, soft, underbelly, potential, hitting
Number of Pages: 100
Published: 2004
ISBN-10: 0833035223
ISBN-13: 9780833035226

Over the past decade, the United States has endeavored to increase its ability to detect, prevent, and respond to terrorist threats and incidents. The agriculture sector and the food industry in general, however, have received comparatively little attention with respect to protection against terrorist incidents. This study aims to expand the current debate on domestic homeland security by assessing the vulnerabilities of the agricultural sector and the food chain to a deliberate act of biological terrorism. The author presents the current state of research on threats to agricultural livestock

Authors:Angel Rabasa, Lesley Anne Warner, Peter Chalk, Iv
Publisher: RAND
Keywords: counterinsurgency, operations, rand, study, paper, coin, money, lessons, learned, past, bank
Number of Pages: 100
Published: 2007
ISBN-10: 0833041592
ISBN-13: 9780833041593

As insurgent threats evolve and assume new forms, the United States must also evolve in its ability to counter potentially prolonged threats in several parts of the world. Because of the potential for global reach in contemporary insurgencies, the ability to draw on lessons learned from past counterinsurgency (COIN) campaigns using different historical cases can be valuable, helping current and future leaders prevent a repetition of mistakes and building a foundation on which to build contemporary responses. To this end, six historic COIN operations from the 19th and 20th centuries are examine
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